Home > Forum > Categories > Random Tracks > What happened to La Nina

What happened to La Nina

  • aaron_wright
  • User
  • User
More
15 years 2 months ago #195525 by aaron_wright
Replied by aaron_wright on topic Re: What happened to La Nina

Where is the forecast discussion? (sorry for being dense).

In the weather links under forecasts or in the point forecast at the bottom of the page there are links to the zone forecast and discussion.

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

  • Charlie Hagedorn
  • User
  • User
More
15 years 2 months ago #195526 by Charlie Hagedorn
Replied by Charlie Hagedorn on topic Re: What happened to La Nina
Similar storms happened in early December 07. Optimism abounds.

Also - a direct link to the forecast discussion
www.wrh.noaa.gov/sew/get.php?wfo=sew&pil=AFD&sid=SEW

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

  • andyrew
  • User
  • User
More
15 years 2 months ago #195527 by andyrew
Replied by andyrew on topic Re: What happened to La Nina
At least the FL are supposed to drop to 3k or 4k and some more precip is supposed fall after the warm front passes, so we won't have to ski on scratchy rain crust for a week after our encounter with the SS Pineapple. Assuming all the snowpack (and roads...crossing my fingers about Sunshine point on the Longmire road) doesn't all get washed away...

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

  • Amar Andalkar
  • User
  • User
More
15 years 2 months ago #195529 by Amar Andalkar
Replied by Amar Andalkar on topic Re: What happened to La Nina

Forecast discussion calls it a pineapple express, typical for December any year.


I didn't see any mention of the words "pineapple express" in the several NWS forecast discussions over the last day. Where did you see that?

Anyway, here's an even better link to the Seattle forecast discussion, it displays in a much nicer font (at least on my browser) and gives access to the last 10 previous versions instead of just 5:
www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod....=sew&sid=sew&pil=afd

You can get the forecast discussion for any other western NWS office by substituting the appropriate office code in the URL, e.g. for Portland and Spokane:
www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod....=pqr&sid=pqr&pil=afd
www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod....=otx&sid=otx&pil=afd

[hr]To answer the original question ("What happened to La Nina?"): Nothing happened to it, it's still there and ongoing. Why panic needlessly? The ski season is off to a much better than normal start, snow depths remain well above average throughout the Pacific Northwest -- what more can we ask for?

And La Nina conditions (meaning cooler-than-normal ocean temperatures in the central Pacific) continue to strengthen. The current ENSO forecast (updated weekly) can be found at:
www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_...advisory/index.shtml

However, La Nina is no guarantee of "only" cold storms throughout the winter here. La Nina increases the likelihood of cold storms and longer sustained storm cycles, but there will always be some warm wet storms in any Pacific Northwest winter, including La Nina winters. The weather is generally quite variable here, it will shift rapidly between warmer and colder storm cycles during most winters, as it will do over the next week.

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

  • haggis
  • User
  • User
More
15 years 2 months ago #195530 by haggis
Replied by haggis on topic Re: What happened to La Nina
Cliff Mass called a pineapple on the way in his blog yesterday so thats good enough for me to call one too.

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

  • Amar Andalkar
  • User
  • User
More
15 years 2 months ago #195531 by Amar Andalkar
Replied by Amar Andalkar on topic Re: What happened to La Nina
Oh, I agree that this weekend's system looks like a pineapple express -- I just stated above that I hadn't seen it called that in any official NWS forecast discussions yet.  The evening news weathercasters are already calling it a pineapple right now.

In any case, it's looking like a moderate pineapple express in current model runs, which is good news. Not a really severe one which would send freezing levels up over 10000 ft or even 11000 ft, accompanied by 10"+ of rain.

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.