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[climateupdate] La Nina is officially here
- Lowell_Skoog
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20 years 2 weeks ago #174122
by Lowell_Skoog
[climateupdate] La Nina is officially here was created by Lowell_Skoog
The following message was distributed today on the U.W. climateupdate listserve (climateupdate@u.washington.edu):
The NOAA Climate Prediction Center announced today that a La Nina has officially developed in the tropical Pacific.
The development of the La Nina increases the odds for continued above normal precipitation in the Pacific Northwest. The development has also led to modification of the NOAA Climate Prediction Center's seasonal outlook for temperature. Previous CPC outlooks called for slightly above average temperatures, reflecting a +10 year trend in above average temperatures for the region. The current 90 day (Feb-Mar-April) CPC outlook now calls for near-average temperatures.
For more information on the announcement, see the NOAA press release:
www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2006/s2572.htm
For more information on La Nina, see:
www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_...ostuff/ensofaq.shtml
For more information on how La Nina can affect the Pacific Northwest, see:
www.cses.washington.edu/cig/pnwc/clvariability.shtml
Lara Whitely Binder
Outreach Specialist
Climate Impacts Group
Center for Science in the Earth System
University of Washington
Phone: (206) 616-5349
Fax: (206) 616-5775
lwb123@u.washington.edu
www.cses.washington.edu/cig/
The NOAA Climate Prediction Center announced today that a La Nina has officially developed in the tropical Pacific.
The development of the La Nina increases the odds for continued above normal precipitation in the Pacific Northwest. The development has also led to modification of the NOAA Climate Prediction Center's seasonal outlook for temperature. Previous CPC outlooks called for slightly above average temperatures, reflecting a +10 year trend in above average temperatures for the region. The current 90 day (Feb-Mar-April) CPC outlook now calls for near-average temperatures.
For more information on the announcement, see the NOAA press release:
www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2006/s2572.htm
For more information on La Nina, see:
www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_...ostuff/ensofaq.shtml
For more information on how La Nina can affect the Pacific Northwest, see:
www.cses.washington.edu/cig/pnwc/clvariability.shtml
Lara Whitely Binder
Outreach Specialist
Climate Impacts Group
Center for Science in the Earth System
University of Washington
Phone: (206) 616-5349
Fax: (206) 616-5775
lwb123@u.washington.edu
www.cses.washington.edu/cig/
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- Amar Andalkar
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20 years 2 weeks ago #174125
by Amar Andalkar
Replied by Amar Andalkar on topic Re: [climateupdate] La Nina is officially here
A strong La Nina is almost always great for Northwest snowpacks. However, the current incipient La Nina is weak, and the
Climate Prediction Center's forecasts
do not predict it strengthening very much. Weak La Nina conditions have almost no correlation with increased snowpack at mountain locations in the Cascades, see my
Cascades El Nino / La Nina Page
for details. So people shouldn't have unreasonable expectations just because it's "officially" La Nina.<br><br>That being said, this season has obviously gone off huge so far, especially the past 5 weeks. As of February 1, the snowpack throughout the entire Cascade Range (southwest BC to northern CA) is the best overall since the record snow year of 1999. Depending on how the next three months go, this season could end up anywhere from barely near-normal to well above-normal, even possibly epic and near-record. <br><br>
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